TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kateryna Lazarenko and Laura Rabasco Segura in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Laura Rabasco Segura. This market will resolve to 'Laura Rabasco Segura' if Laura Rabasco Segura advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kateryna Lazarenko and Laura Rabasco Segura in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Laura Rabasco Segura. This market will resolve to 'Laura Rabasco Segura' if Laura Rabasco Segura advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Polymarket to reflect their collective assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregate sentiment of those actively trading. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of each player winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Baza match between Kateryna Lazarenko and Laura Rabasco Segura. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It is important to monitor the official sources for the most accurate information.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds from sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions. The overall volume traded in this market is currently $280, and a significant increase in activity could indicate a shift in expectations as the event draws closer.