TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Kennedy Gibbs in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Kennedy Gibbs. This market will resolve to 'Kennedy Gibbs' if Kennedy Gibbs advances against Arina Arifullina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Kennedy Gibbs in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Kennedy Gibbs. This market will resolve to 'Kennedy Gibbs' if Kennedy Gibbs advances against Arina Arifullina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing the outcome, effectively forecasting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arifullina vs Gibbs match, as reported by the governing sports body or an authoritative source. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. The platform will verify the information and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Arina Arifullina or Kennedy Gibbs could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or shifts in public opinion could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.