TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Cabassers Morros and Malkia Ngounoue in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Cabassers Morros' if Anna Cabassers Morros advances against Malkia Ngounoue. This market will resolve to 'Malkia Ngounoue' if Malkia Ngounoue advances against Anna Cabassers Morros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Cabassers Morros and Malkia Ngounoue in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Cabassers Morros' if Anna Cabassers Morros advances against Malkia Ngounoue. This market will resolve to 'Malkia Ngounoue' if Malkia Ngounoue advances against Anna Cabassers Morros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have 'skin in the game' and are actively updating their beliefs based on new information. This can lead to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective judgment of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cabassers Morros vs Ngounoue match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could all influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in public perception regarding the players' form could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in the market.