TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juae Shin and Nana Kawagishi in the W15 Yeongwol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juae Shin' if Juae Shin advances against Nana Kawagishi. This market will resolve to 'Nana Kawagishi' if Nana Kawagishi advances against Juae Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juae Shin and Nana Kawagishi in the W15 Yeongwol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juae Shin' if Juae Shin advances against Nana Kawagishi. This market will resolve to 'Nana Kawagishi' if Nana Kawagishi advances against Juae Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price; a higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome. The platform's design incentivizes accurate predictions, as successful traders profit from correctly anticipating the result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yeongwol tennis match between Juae Shin and Nana Kawagishi, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market.