TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 2:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eunyeong Park and Thasaporn Naklo in the W15 Yeongwol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eunyeong Park' if Eunyeong Park advances against Thasaporn Naklo. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Eunyeong Park. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eunyeong Park and Thasaporn Naklo in the W15 Yeongwol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eunyeong Park' if Eunyeong Park advances against Thasaporn Naklo. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Eunyeong Park. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, we may see the prediction market odds diverge. It's common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s substantial volume.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or pre-defined probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yeongwol tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout equivalent to 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing player will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches, or even comments from tennis analysts, might also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, especially if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Monitoring these signals could provide insights into potential market movements.