TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Bilardo and Celeste Faustini in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Bilardo' if Federica Bilardo advances against Celeste Faustini. This market will resolve to 'Celeste Faustini' if Celeste Faustini advances against Federica Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Bilardo and Celeste Faustini in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Bilardo' if Federica Bilardo advances against Celeste Faustini. This market will resolve to 'Celeste Faustini' if Celeste Faustini advances against Federica Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Bilardo vs Faustini match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Viserba di Rimini match between Federica Bilardo and Celeste Faustini. The platform will verify the match result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before the match concludes.