TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen and Chiara Fornasieri in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen' if Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen advances against Chiara Fornasieri. This market will resolve to 'Chiara Fornasieri' if Chiara Fornasieri advances against Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen and Chiara Fornasieri in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen' if Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen advances against Chiara Fornasieri. This market will resolve to 'Chiara Fornasieri' if Chiara Fornasieri advances against Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts closer to the event's start.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W15 Viserba tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Viserba tennis match between Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen and Chiara Fornasieri, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Sep 15, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially impacting playing styles and match outcomes. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in conviction among traders, leading to price adjustments and a reassessment of the probabilities.