TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Agnese Gentili and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agnese Gentili' if Agnese Gentili advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Agnese Gentili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Agnese Gentili and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agnese Gentili' if Agnese Gentili advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Agnese Gentili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market participants possess information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It’s common to see the odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Agnese Gentili will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Federica Trevisan.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the W15 Viserba di Rimini match between Agnese Gentili and Federica Trevisan. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner and finalize the market. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date nears to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, or analysis from tennis experts, might also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the W15 Viserba di Rimini event could also play a role. Generally, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Agnese Gentili or Federica Trevisan winning will likely impact the market.