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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
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5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saumya Vig and Greta Fenyves in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saumya Vig' if Saumya Vig advances against Greta Fenyves. This market will resolve to 'Greta Fenyves' if Greta Fenyves advances against Saumya Vig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saumya Vig and Greta Fenyves in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saumya Vig' if Saumya Vig advances against Greta Fenyves. This market will resolve to 'Greta Fenyves' if Greta Fenyves advances against Saumya Vig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds over time. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from perceived public misjudgments, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, differences can emerge due to varying information access and risk appetites. It's common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to the latest developments and insights regarding the Vig-Fenyves match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna match between Saumya Vig and Greta Fenyves, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 5, 2026.