TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saumya Vig and Daria Maria Marioara in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saumya Vig' if Saumya Vig advances against Daria Maria Marioara. This market will resolve to 'Daria Maria Marioara' if Daria Maria Marioara advances against Saumya Vig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saumya Vig and Daria Maria Marioara in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saumya Vig' if Saumya Vig advances against Daria Maria Marioara. This market will resolve to 'Daria Maria Marioara' if Daria Maria Marioara advances against Saumya Vig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust continuously based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saumya Vig versus Daria Maria Marioara match. Any official result declared by the governing body of the competition will be accepted as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and subsequent settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or any significant updates about their recent performance, might also cause the market to move. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the willingness of traders to back their beliefs with capital.