TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Konovalova and Serena Paris in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Milana Konovalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Konovalova and Serena Paris in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Milana Konovalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Milana Konovalova vs Serena Paris match in the W15 Varna tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Milana Konovalova or Serena Paris could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches within the W15 Varna tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or late-breaking analysis from tennis experts could drive trading activity and alter the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.