TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melis Rasim and Galena Krastenova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melis Rasim' if Melis Rasim advances against Galena Krastenova. This market will resolve to 'Galena Krastenova' if Galena Krastenova advances against Melis Rasim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melis Rasim and Galena Krastenova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melis Rasim' if Melis Rasim advances against Galena Krastenova. This market will resolve to 'Galena Krastenova' if Galena Krastenova advances against Melis Rasim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's expectation of who will win the W15 Varna tennis match, and the volume shows the level of interest and conviction behind that expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna tennis match between Melis Rasim and Galena Krastenova. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on the real-world event.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also trigger shifts in the market. Additionally, large trades by influential participants or changes in overall market sentiment towards either player could lead to noticeable price fluctuations before Oct 5, 2026.