TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Peer and Monika Gospodinova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Peer' if Lisa Peer advances against Monika Gospodinova. This market will resolve to 'Monika Gospodinova' if Monika Gospodinova advances against Lisa Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Peer and Monika Gospodinova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Peer' if Lisa Peer advances against Monika Gospodinova. This market will resolve to 'Monika Gospodinova' if Monika Gospodinova advances against Lisa Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both sources have their own strengths and weaknesses, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate in predicting the outcome of the Lisa Peer vs Monika Gospodinova match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the changing collective assessment of the match's likely result. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of a win for either Lisa Peer or Monika Gospodinova.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna tennis match between Lisa Peer and Monika Gospodinova. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception regarding the Lisa Peer vs Monika Gospodinova match. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.