TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Peer and Alexia-Shara Iancu in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Peer' if Lisa Peer advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Lisa Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Peer and Alexia-Shara Iancu in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Peer' if Lisa Peer advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Lisa Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna match between Lisa Peer and Alexia-Shara Iancu. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in the broader W15 Varna tournament could affect the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential market movements before Oct 5, 2026.