TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kalina Simeonova and Yoana Moneva in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kalina Simeonova' if Kalina Simeonova advances against Yoana Moneva. This market will resolve to 'Yoana Moneva' if Yoana Moneva advances against Kalina Simeonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kalina Simeonova and Yoana Moneva in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kalina Simeonova' if Kalina Simeonova advances against Yoana Moneva. This market will resolve to 'Yoana Moneva' if Yoana Moneva advances against Kalina Simeonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public betting patterns, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it's interesting to see if this market agrees or if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of either player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the players’ form and potential strategies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Kalina Simeonova vs Yoana Moneva match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna match between Kalina Simeonova and Yoana Moneva. The platform will rely on official tournament results and verified sources to determine the winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process is independent and relies on publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could also cause price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution date.