TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilina Ilieva and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilina Ilieva' if Ilina Ilieva advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Ilina Ilieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilina Ilieva and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilina Ilieva' if Ilina Ilieva advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Ilina Ilieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna tennis match between Ilina Ilieva and Ralitsa Alexandrova. Once the official results are published, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as these can affect playing styles and outcomes. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the W15 Varna tournament might lead to a reassessment of the overall competitive landscape and impact the perceived probabilities in this market. Increased trading volume itself can also accelerate price movements.