TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Andzhelina Kostova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Andzhelina Kostova. This market will resolve to 'Andzhelina Kostova' if Andzhelina Kostova advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Andzhelina Kostova in the W15 Varna, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Andzhelina Kostova. This market will resolve to 'Andzhelina Kostova' if Andzhelina Kostova advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sets, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those found at traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Varna match between Carolina Gasparini and Andzhelina Kostova, as determined by the tournament organizers. The winning player will be the outcome considered resolved, and shares will be settled accordingly. This timeframe allows for official results to be verified and reported, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement of the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Gasparini vs Kostova match.