TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Liv Zingg in the W15 Trelew, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amparo Corvalan Mitilli' if Amparo Corvalan Mitilli advances against Liv Zingg. This market will resolve to 'Liv Zingg' if Liv Zingg advances against Amparo Corvalan Mitilli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Liv Zingg in the W15 Trelew, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amparo Corvalan Mitilli' if Amparo Corvalan Mitilli advances against Liv Zingg. This market will resolve to 'Liv Zingg' if Liv Zingg advances against Amparo Corvalan Mitilli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It's important to note that prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregate prediction. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Amparo Corvalan Mitilli and Liv Zingg in Trelew. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine which player won. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift predictions. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even weather forecasts impacting the match, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Public perception and analysis of the players' recent performance are also likely to play a role.