TOTAL VOLUME:
$140.6b
24H VOL:
$179,658,703
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,543,053,589
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,379,190
430,096
Markets across
33,549
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,839
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Qianyu Dong in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Qianyu Dong. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Qianyu Dong in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Qianyu Dong. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Shenzhen tennis match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will trigger the settlement of all outstanding shares. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause movement. Major weather events in Shenzhen could also affect the match and, consequently, the market. Increased trading volume driven by new information or prominent traders entering the market could also lead to price fluctuations.