TOTAL VOLUME:
$140.6b
24H VOL:
$179,658,703
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,543,053,589
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,379,190
430,096
Markets across
33,549
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,839
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Kaiyan SUN in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaxi Wang' if Yaxi Wang advances against Kaiyan SUN. This market will resolve to 'Kaiyan SUN' if Kaiyan SUN advances against Yaxi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Kaiyan SUN in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaxi Wang' if Yaxi Wang advances against Kaiyan SUN. This market will resolve to 'Kaiyan SUN' if Kaiyan SUN advances against Yaxi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the latest consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Kaiyan SUN. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official results as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the tennis world, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.