TOTAL VOLUME:

$140.7b

24H VOL:

$152,035,205

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,543,053,589

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,903,066

424,369

Markets across

33,316

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bears vs. Packers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bears vs. Packers?

Volume:
$2,650,744

Spread -3.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -3.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$111,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 26.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,758
N/A
N/A
$4,330
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 14.5 points

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,839
N/A
N/A
$4,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 points

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
$3,075
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 36.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 17.5 points

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,387
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 30.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 points

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 322

Description

This group covers a variety of markets related to the NFL game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers, including the game winner, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and team-specific performance metrics. Markets span different timeframes (full game, first half, first quarter) and scoring categories.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets are scoped to the first half of the game and scheduled for a future date, while Polymarket markets cover the full game on the originally scheduled date.Hero tip: Be mindful of the differing scopes and dates. Kalshi markets only resolve on the first half, and are scheduled for a future date. Polymarket markets resolve on the full game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the final game result as reported by official NFL sources (NFL.com). Resolution occurs after the game's completion, and the date is October 11th, 2024. All markets include overtime if played.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the total points scored in the *first half* of the game. The scheduled date for resolution is October 11, 2026. Many markets are scoped to the first half only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bears and Packers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 42.5 points. If the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half, with no consideration given to the second half or overtime scoring. The markets are independent, allowing for varied outcomes depending on the chosen threshold, and all are subject to the condition that the game must be officially played as scheduled; any cancellations or alterations to the original date or teams would affect resolution based on standard sporting event contingency rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This contrasts with sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. While sportsbooks aim to balance risk and profit, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a large volume of traders participate. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Both types of odds attempt to quantify the probability of different outcomes, but they arrive at those probabilities through different mechanisms.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform might not be identical; one might focus on the point spread, while the other explores total points scored. These differences in market construction can lead to varying prices, even for the same underlying event. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. The differing approaches to margin requirements and fees can also contribute to price discrepancies.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Bears or the Packers would likely cause significant movement. Major weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions could also shift the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team dynamics could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on market trends.