TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Timea Gross in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasilisa Kochkadaeva' if Vasilisa Kochkadaeva advances against Timea Gross. This market will resolve to 'Timea Gross' if Timea Gross advances against Vasilisa Kochkadaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Timea Gross in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasilisa Kochkadaeva' if Vasilisa Kochkadaeva advances against Timea Gross. This market will resolve to 'Timea Gross' if Timea Gross advances against Vasilisa Kochkadaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public perception shifts regarding the Kochkadaeva vs Gross match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kochkadaeva vs Gross match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Timea Gross. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, large trades or strategic actions by prominent traders on Polymarket can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on the platform will provide valuable insights into potential catalysts for price changes in this market.