TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA and Jian Ibrahim in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA' if SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA advances against Jian Ibrahim. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA and Jian Ibrahim in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA' if SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA advances against Jian Ibrahim. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the likelihood of events, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as information aggregates efficiently.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA and Jian Ibrahim, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine whether SERAFYMA VASYLIEVA or Jian Ibrahim was the victor, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Sharm ElSheikh could also play a role, potentially affecting the players' performance. Furthermore, significant trading volume driven by new information or a change in overall market perception could cause the odds to move. Even general shifts in public opinion, if reflected in trading activity on Polymarket, could impact the price of shares in this market.