TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 5:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Rudiukova and Darya Kharlanova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Rudiukova' if Nina Rudiukova advances against Darya Kharlanova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Kharlanova' if Darya Kharlanova advances against Nina Rudiukova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Rudiukova and Darya Kharlanova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Rudiukova' if Nina Rudiukova advances against Darya Kharlanova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Kharlanova' if Darya Kharlanova advances against Nina Rudiukova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kharlanova vs Rudiukova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Nina Rudiukova and Darya Kharlanova. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Kharlanova vs Rudiukova match takes place. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, such as alterations to the schedule or venue, might also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information and evolving perceptions.