TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kateryna Bennasar Motilla and Eva Khrustaleva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Bennasar Motilla' if Kateryna Bennasar Motilla advances against Eva Khrustaleva. This market will resolve to 'Eva Khrustaleva' if Eva Khrustaleva advances against Kateryna Bennasar Motilla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kateryna Bennasar Motilla and Eva Khrustaleva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Bennasar Motilla' if Kateryna Bennasar Motilla advances against Eva Khrustaleva. This market will resolve to 'Eva Khrustaleva' if Eva Khrustaleva advances against Kateryna Bennasar Motilla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, and sometimes, they can offer more favorable odds for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Kateryna Bennasar Motilla will win, the higher the price of shares representing her victory will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast of the match’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Kateryna Bennasar Motilla and Eva Khrustaleva. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources that report the official match results. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media discussions about the players' form, could also play a role. A strong showing by either player in a practice session or a pre-match interview might also cause the market to adjust its probabilities, as traders react to the new information available before Oct 4, 2026.