TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 5:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jade Groen and Marina Tawdrws in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jade Groen' if Jade Groen advances against Marina Tawdrws. This market will resolve to 'Marina Tawdrws' if Marina Tawdrws advances against Jade Groen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jade Groen and Marina Tawdrws in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jade Groen' if Jade Groen advances against Marina Tawdrws. This market will resolve to 'Marina Tawdrws' if Marina Tawdrws advances against Jade Groen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Jade Groen and Marina Tawdrws. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injury updates for either Jade Groen or Marina Tawdrws, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, as others react to these signals and adjust their own positions.