TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Popovic and Luna Maria Cinalli in the W15 Sao Luis, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Popovic' if Mia Popovic advances against Luna Maria Cinalli. This market will resolve to 'Luna Maria Cinalli' if Luna Maria Cinalli advances against Mia Popovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Popovic and Luna Maria Cinalli in the W15 Sao Luis, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Popovic' if Mia Popovic advances against Luna Maria Cinalli. This market will resolve to 'Luna Maria Cinalli' if Luna Maria Cinalli advances against Mia Popovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations for the Sao Luis tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sao Luis tennis match between Mia Popovic and Luna Maria Cinalli. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the final result of the Sao Luis tennis match.