TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias and Alicia Reichel in the W15 Sao Luis, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias' if Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias advances against Alicia Reichel. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Reichel' if Alicia Reichel advances against Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias and Alicia Reichel in the W15 Sao Luis, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias' if Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias advances against Alicia Reichel. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Reichel' if Alicia Reichel advances against Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by users who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sao Luis tennis match between Fernanda Guadalupe Regalado Macias and Alicia Reichel. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors and observing changes in trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 22, 2026.