TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Stella Cinkanicova in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Stella Cinkanicova. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Stella Cinkanicova in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Stella Cinkanicova. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's common to see prediction markets provide more favorable odds than sportsbooks, especially when there's significant public information available or disagreement among bettors. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume suggests moderate interest in this particular match, and the price movements will be influenced by any news or developments related to the players or the event itself.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Radom tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Stella Cinkanicova. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and how their positions are settled once the official outcome is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the W15 Radom tournament might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Radom tennis match.