TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Adams and Anna Kmiecik in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Adams' if Julia Adams advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Julia Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Adams and Anna Kmiecik in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Adams' if Julia Adams advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Julia Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Examining these differences can be a valuable part of your research process.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders regarding the Adams vs Kmiecik match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Radom tennis match between Julia Adams and Anna Kmiecik, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large purchase or sale of shares – can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential direction of this market.