TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Izabela Heinzova and Daria Gorska in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izabela Heinzova' if Izabela Heinzova advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Izabela Heinzova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Izabela Heinzova and Daria Gorska in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izabela Heinzova' if Izabela Heinzova advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Izabela Heinzova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or new information emerges. If a large number of people believe one player will win, even against sportsbook consensus, the odds on Polymarket will likely shift to reflect that belief. This can be a useful comparison when assessing the potential value in each.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in one of the players, but that can change rapidly based on new information or trading activity. The total volume traded provides a sense of how much attention this match is receiving.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Radom tennis match between Izabela Heinzova and Daria Gorska. The platform will verify the result against sources that provide definitive match outcomes, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, reports of an injury to one of the players would likely increase the probability of their opponent winning. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, especially if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Even general tennis news or analysis could influence traders’ beliefs and move the odds on Polymarket.