TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Enola Chiesa and Anna Kmiecik in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enola Chiesa' if Enola Chiesa advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Enola Chiesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enola Chiesa and Anna Kmiecik in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enola Chiesa' if Enola Chiesa advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Enola Chiesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or late-breaking news regarding player form or potential injuries, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price and the probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time forecast for the Chiesa vs Kmiecik match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Radom tennis match between Enola Chiesa and Anna Kmiecik, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in preceding matches could all cause significant shifts. Updates on player form, training reports, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related tournaments or surprising strategic announcements from either player could also move this market. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.