TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Annemarie Lazar and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Radom, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annemarie Lazar' if Annemarie Lazar advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Annemarie Lazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Annemarie Lazar and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Radom, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Annemarie Lazar' if Annemarie Lazar advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Annemarie Lazar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional analysis. Often, prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks might be influenced by biases or limited information. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially in less liquid markets or those with significant public interest. However, as more volume flows into this market, the odds tend to converge with those offered by established sportsbooks, reflecting a more informed consensus. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lazar vs Janiszewska match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances of winning, and this changes dynamically with every trade.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Radom match between Annemarie Lazar and Aleksandra Janiszewska. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts predicting a shift in momentum, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the odds. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s completion.