TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Romero and Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez in the W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Romero' if Camila Romero advances against Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez' if Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez advances against Camila Romero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Romero and Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez in the W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Romero' if Camila Romero advances against Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez' if Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez advances against Camila Romero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Comparing these odds can be insightful, revealing where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers and potentially identifying value opportunities. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy) tennis match between Camila Romero and Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez. The platform will verify the winner of the match against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the final settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders, often referred to as 'smart money,' can also cause noticeable price movements. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or specific insights into the players' head-to-head record could impact the probabilities. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.