TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO and Luciana Agudelo in the W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO' if CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO advances against Luciana Agudelo. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Agudelo' if Luciana Agudelo advances against CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO and Luciana Agudelo in the W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO' if CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO advances against Luciana Agudelo. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Agudelo' if Luciana Agudelo advances against CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or changing sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are constantly adjusting based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CAIRA DELFINA VEGA GUDINO match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential delays or changes to the event schedule that might affect the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or any controversies surrounding the event could also lead to significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the willingness of traders to put their capital at risk based on their own assessment of the situation.