TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stella Cinkanicova and Sara Mikaca in the W15 Pécs, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Sara Mikaca. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Stella Cinkanicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stella Cinkanicova and Sara Mikaca in the W15 Pécs, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Sara Mikaca. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Stella Cinkanicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions on Polymarket, can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as traders identify perceived mispricings. It's common to see differences, especially in events where public opinion strongly deviates from expert consensus.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Cinkanicova vs Mikaca match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Pécs tennis match between Stella Cinkanicova and Sara Mikaca. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Cinkanicova or Mikaca could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other tournaments, could indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations.