TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Mrazikova and Stella Cinkanicova in the W15 Pécs, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Mrazikova' if Karolina Mrazikova advances against Stella Cinkanicova. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Karolina Mrazikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Mrazikova and Stella Cinkanicova in the W15 Pécs, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Mrazikova' if Karolina Mrazikova advances against Stella Cinkanicova. This market will resolve to 'Stella Cinkanicova' if Stella Cinkanicova advances against Karolina Mrazikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in public opinion about the Mrazikova vs Cinkanicova match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mrazikova vs Cinkanicova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating higher confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Pécs tennis match between Karolina Mrazikova and Stella Cinkanicova. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either Mrazikova or Cinkanicova in another tournament leading up to the match would likely impact the odds. Furthermore, public endorsements or expert analysis favoring one player over the other could also drive trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities for this market.