TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuka Matsumoto and Rituparna Nayak in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuka Matsumoto' if Yuka Matsumoto advances against Rituparna Nayak. This market will resolve to 'Rituparna Nayak' if Rituparna Nayak advances against Yuka Matsumoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuka Matsumoto and Rituparna Nayak in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuka Matsumoto' if Yuka Matsumoto advances against Rituparna Nayak. This market will resolve to 'Rituparna Nayak' if Rituparna Nayak advances against Yuka Matsumoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individual predictions. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the outcome, based on the actual event results and publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match schedules could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis suggesting a shift in player form, might also drive trading volume and price adjustments. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility in this market, reflecting their assessment of the Monastir tennis match.