TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Theresa Stabauer and Johanna Silva in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Johanna Silva. This market will resolve to 'Johanna Silva' if Johanna Silva advances against Theresa Stabauer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Theresa Stabauer and Johanna Silva in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Johanna Silva. This market will resolve to 'Johanna Silva' if Johanna Silva advances against Theresa Stabauer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as traders react quickly to developments surrounding the Stabauer vs Silva match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of the event, as profitable trading relies on correct predictions about the Stabauer vs Silva match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Theresa Stabauer and Johanna Silva. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verified results, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations regarding the Stabauer vs Silva match, causing a rapid adjustment in the market’s price.