TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Iakukhina and Silvia Caliman in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Silvia Caliman. This market will resolve to 'Silvia Caliman' if Silvia Caliman advances against Sofia Iakukhina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Iakukhina and Silvia Caliman in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Silvia Caliman. This market will resolve to 'Silvia Caliman' if Silvia Caliman advances against Sofia Iakukhina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on analytical models and risk management, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, which can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements based on real-time news and sentiment. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the implied probability for each outcome. The current top chance reflects the most recent consensus among participants, adjusted for liquidity and volume. This dynamic process allows for rapid shifts in pricing as new information emerges or as betting patterns change leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then automatically reflected in the market once the data is publicly available and confirmed through standard verification channels.
Injuries, weather conditions, player form leading up to the match, and any last-minute changes in tournament scheduling can all significantly impact this market. Media coverage, betting trends on Polymarket, and analyst predictions may also cause price swings. Traders will be watching closely for any news that affects the perceived likelihood of each player’s victory as the event approaches.