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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Savannah Dada-Mascoll and Pauline Gloeckner in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Savannah Dada-Mascoll' if Savannah Dada-Mascoll advances against Pauline Gloeckner. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Savannah Dada-Mascoll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Savannah Dada-Mascoll and Pauline Gloeckner in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Savannah Dada-Mascoll' if Savannah Dada-Mascoll advances against Pauline Gloeckner. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Savannah Dada-Mascoll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may be less influenced by initial biases or public perception. It’s common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook offerings as new information emerges and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, signaling a growing belief in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely determined by supply and demand, and the platform facilitates this process by matching buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Savannah Dada-Mascoll versus Pauline Gloeckner match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the Monastir tournament could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the W15 Monastir tournament could affect perceptions of player momentum and overall competitiveness, leading to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market.