TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Riko Kikawada and Yasmine Mansouri in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Yasmine Mansouri. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Mansouri' if Yasmine Mansouri advances against Riko Kikawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Riko Kikawada and Yasmine Mansouri in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Yasmine Mansouri. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Mansouri' if Yasmine Mansouri advances against Riko Kikawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and risk management into their odds, while this market is driven purely by individuals betting on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into public sentiment and potentially identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes related to the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to represent the collective prediction of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a win by either Riko Kikawada or Yasmine Mansouri, and is a direct measure of perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Riko Kikawada and Yasmine Mansouri, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the winning player, and 0% for the losing player. The final result will be determined by the official scoreline of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and lead to price movements before the Monastir tennis match takes place.