TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pauline Gloeckner and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Pauline Gloeckner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pauline Gloeckner and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Pauline Gloeckner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Pauline Gloeckner and Miroslava Medvedeva, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning player, and all shares will be settled accordingly at that time. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or even broader tournament news, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react quickly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving probabilities.