TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mirabelle Tahiri and Sofia Iakukhina in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirabelle Tahiri' if Mirabelle Tahiri advances against Sofia Iakukhina. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Mirabelle Tahiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mirabelle Tahiri and Sofia Iakukhina in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirabelle Tahiri' if Mirabelle Tahiri advances against Sofia Iakukhina. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Mirabelle Tahiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets reflect the real-time bets and sentiment of individual participants. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger divergences, depending on recent performance news, player injuries, or weather conditions. Traders should compare this market’s implied probabilities with sportsbook offerings to spot potential value gaps.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through their bets, creating a dynamic market curve that adjusts with each new trade. The current top outcome’s chance is displayed as a percentage, derived from the inverse of its decimal odds. This price mechanism allows rapid reflection of new information, such as practice session reports or head-to-head updates, without external influence. The resulting market price balances buy and sell orders, offering a live barometer of participant confidence.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. No further trading will be allowed after the event is finalized, and all positions will settle based on the confirmed winner. Timing aligns with the tournament schedule, ensuring a clear and timely close.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including late-breaking injury updates, weather forecasts affecting play conditions, or strong performance in preceding matches that impact player morale. Media interviews or expert commentary may also sway trader sentiment. As the event nears, any shift in betting patterns on Polymarket will be reflected instantly in the odds. Players should monitor official tournament announcements and real-time news feeds for any developments that might alter expectations.