TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 5:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mirabelle Tahiri and Samaira Pahwa in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirabelle Tahiri' if Mirabelle Tahiri advances against Samaira Pahwa. This market will resolve to 'Samaira Pahwa' if Samaira Pahwa advances against Mirabelle Tahiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mirabelle Tahiri and Samaira Pahwa in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirabelle Tahiri' if Mirabelle Tahiri advances against Samaira Pahwa. This market will resolve to 'Samaira Pahwa' if Samaira Pahwa advances against Mirabelle Tahiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It's common to see differences, especially before significant events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing means the market continuously updates its forecast as new information becomes available, offering a real-time probability assessment of the match’s result.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Mirabelle Tahiri and Samaira Pahwa, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even broader tennis news, could also cause traders to reassess their views. Increased media attention or social media discussion surrounding the match could also drive volume and price movement on Polymarket, as more people become aware of the market and share their opinions.