TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 1:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and nour sahnoun in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and nour sahnoun in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of success for that result in the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marija Semenistaja versus nour sahnoun tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed individuals could cause significant price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Monastir tennis match.