TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and Martyna Zaremba in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against Martyna Zaremba. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Zaremba' if Martyna Zaremba advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marija Semenistaja and Martyna Zaremba in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marija Semenistaja' if Marija Semenistaja advances against Martyna Zaremba. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Zaremba' if Martyna Zaremba advances against Marija Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome – in this case, either player winning the match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process, providing clarity on the final outcome for all traders who participated.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals – alongside general tennis news and analysis – will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market leading up to Sep 14, 2026.