TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Villet and Doga Turkmen in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Villet' if Marie Villet advances against Doga Turkmen. This market will resolve to 'Doga Turkmen' if Doga Turkmen advances against Marie Villet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Villet and Doga Turkmen in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Villet' if Marie Villet advances against Doga Turkmen. This market will resolve to 'Doga Turkmen' if Doga Turkmen advances against Marie Villet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and profit margins. This market, however, allows traders to express their own independent assessments, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or varying interpretations of the same data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a certain outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the winner and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player withdrawals or alterations to the match schedule would also likely cause movement. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential market movements.