TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lavinia Luciano and Irem Kurt in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Luciano' if Lavinia Luciano advances against Irem Kurt. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Lavinia Luciano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lavinia Luciano and Irem Kurt in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Luciano' if Lavinia Luciano advances against Irem Kurt. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Lavinia Luciano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's an arbitrage opportunity. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to news and events in unique ways.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir match between Lavinia Luciano and Irem Kurt, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, major weather forecasts for Monastir could affect expectations, particularly if conditions are expected to favor one player's style of play over the other. Increased trading volume leading up to Sep 24, 2026 would also be a key signal to watch.