TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Amahee Charrier in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Amahee Charrier. This market will resolve to 'Amahee Charrier' if Amahee Charrier advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Amahee Charrier in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Amahee Charrier. This market will resolve to 'Amahee Charrier' if Amahee Charrier advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'true' odds more accurately, as they are driven by the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can still be valuable for comparison, and significant discrepancies may present opportunities for informed traders. Analyzing differences between this market and sportsbook lines can reveal interesting insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders deposit funds and buy or sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. As more contracts are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a maximum of 100. The market's overall price movements are driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Lan Mi and Amahee Charrier, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Lan Mi or Amahee Charrier, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception, causing the odds to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price movements.